Confirmed and non-confirmed predictions for 2018-19 Premier League betting odds and records

In August the top British football analysts and bookmakers made their predictions about Premier League in many bet markets. They had also referred to some records that may be broken.

Some months later, two matches before the end of the season it is too exciting to make a summary. We focus on everything that has a betting interest. So, it is time to see which of the predictions were confirmed and those that were denied.

Premier League Champions – Odds in August

Manchester City 1.62
Liverpool 4.00
Manchester United 7.50
Chelsea 12.00
Spurs 16.00
Arsenal 25.00

As you can see above, the bookmakers were absolutely right about the best two teams. Manchester City and Liverpool are fighting for the title, with “citizens” to have one point more than “Reds”.

They miss on United chances after the “Red Devils” will not be even in the Champions League group.

Bookmakers and analysts also made a wrong estimation about Tottenham chances. “Spurs” were a title contender even 45 days ago, and for sure they played better football than United and Chelsea.

The highest odd that can be confirmed is Manchester City’s domestic treble. Pep Guardiola’s team has won League Cup, they are in the FA Cup final against Watford, and they are sitting on the top of the league at the end of the 36th day. It was offered at 22.00!

Top Goal Scorer – Odds in August

Harry Kane 3.00
Mo Salah 5.50
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 6.00
Sergio Aguero 7.50
Romelu Lukaku 8.00
Gabriel Jesus 14.00
Alexandre Lacazette 14.00
Roberto Firmino 25.00
Alexis Sanchez 33.00
Eden Hazard 33.00
Alvaro Morata 33.00

Harry Kane was the first favourite, but he got injured more than once.

So, the Tottenham superstar played only in 28 games and scored 17 goals. However, we have to mention that the bookmaker’s predictions were in the right direction.

Mo Salah is sitting on the top of the scorers with 21 goals. Aguero has 20, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 19.

The three of them were in the Top-5 bookmakers’ favourites, so we can say that their estimations were more than right, but they missed Sadio Mane.

The Senegalese star has scored 20 goals, he is only one goal away from Salah, and bookmakers and top analysts they did not even include him in the Top-11 at the start of the season.

Relegation – Odds in August

Huddersfield 1.10
Cardiff 1.65
Brighton 1.75
Watford 1.80
Fulham 1.87
Burnley 3.50
Bournemouth 4.50
Newcastle 5.00
Crystal Palace 5.50
Southampton 7.00
Wolves 7.00

The 1st, the 2nd and the 5th favourite have already relegated. Huddersfield, Cardiff and Fulham will play at the Championship League next season.

So, we must admit that the predictions were right. However there is a miss, once Watford was among the top-5 teams possible to be relegated.

“Hornets” are at the TOP-10 of the table, and they will also play at the FA Cup final against Manchester City, having played great football.

The Sack Race – Odds in August

Claude Puel (Leicester City) 4.50
Rafa Benitez (Newcastle) 5.50
Jose Mourinho (Manchester United) 7.00
Neil Warnock (Cardiff City) 7.50
Javi Gracia (Watford) 8.00
Mark Hughes (Southampton) 10.00

According to the odds, six managers were more closed to be sacked than the other 14. The success percentage is at 50% as long as three of the six were sacked.

Let’s see them shorted by sack date.

03/12/2018: Mark Hughes
18/12/2018: Jose Mourinho
24/02/2019: Claude Puel

About the other three, Neil Warnock experiences the relegation with Cardiff, but he has full support. Rafa Benitez and Javi Gracia made it better than bookies expected with Newcastle and Watford respectively.

About Records

• Manchester City finished first last season being 19 points ahead of the 2nd place. That is impossible to happen this year.
• Derby County collected only 11 points in 2007-08. Huddersfield managed not to break this record having collected 14 points so far.
• Arsenal remains the only unbeaten team in a season, since 2003/04. Liverpool has once defeated this season, by Manchester City, on 3rd of January 2019.
• Thierry Henry has 20 assists in the 2003 season. Fraser and Hazard have 13 so far, but it is almost impossible for any of the two players to make eight assists till the end of the season.